“Of all risks, it is in relation to the environment that the world is
most clearly sleepwalking into catastrophe,” so says the World Economic Forum’s
Global Risks Report.
The report offers a rare perspective on the threats facing
our world, by
not only regarding the most probable risks, but also those that would have a sizeable impact.
Image: World Economic Forum
The report says: “The results of climate inaction are becoming
increasingly clear. The accelerating pace of biodiversity loss is a particular
concern.”
Other
big concerns in terms of likelihood and impact include, increased technological
dependence, along with risks that stem from the global economy, society, and
geopolitically.
Image: World Economic Forum
Cyber-attacks feature in both top 10s, at number five for likelihood and
seven for impact, while data fraud is at number four for likelihood, reflecting
an overall trend as technology shapes the risk landscape.
The vast majority of respondents (82%) predicted the risk of cyber-attacks leading to
theft of money and data to increase in 2019, with 80% believing they would
disrupt operations. The survey says this “reflects how new instabilities are
being caused by the deepening integration of digital technologies into every
aspect of life”.
The report also warns of the macroeconomic risks we face as we head into
the third month of 2019.
The majority of respondents expect increasing risks this year, related
to “economic confrontations between major powers” (91%) and “erosion of multilateral
trading rules and agreements” (88%).
Financial market volatility and slowing global growth through 2018 are
highlighted by the authors and by the latest International
Monetary Fund forecasts.
As a result, the possibility of an asset bubble
in a major economy is 10th most likely.
These risks are interconnected and
each has the potential to affect the others. Consider for example the loss of
biodiversity in the human food chain. This affects health and socioeconomic
development, with implications for areas from productivity to regional
security.
Image: World Economic Forum
The Global Risks Report 2019 was released ahead of the World Economic
Forum’s Annual Meeting in Davos and surveyed
leaders on potential dangers facing the world in the coming year. The report compels governments and
organizations to address the impact of specific threats and make preparations
to curb potential disasters should they occur.
* Reference: “ These are the biggest risks facing our world in 2019” by the
World Economic Forum.
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