Under MCO 1.0, there were many possibilities of securing some
relief for my business. But, lo and behold, my application was too late for the
fund – “kuota sudah habis”. As a SME (bordering on a Micro), it is a struggle
to survive for more than a year under Covid-19. The only good point was that
there was a loan moratorium for a while.
We are now in MCO 3.0 with a full lockdown to be implemented
tomorrow. What relief is possible?
On official count, the Government has rolled out seven economic
stabilisation, stimulus and recovery packages. Some say it totalled RM340
billion or 24% of GDP. But fiscal injection was only RM72.6 billion (to March
2021).
Source:www.kualalumpurpost.net
GDP recovered somewhat from negative 17% in Q2 2020 to a lower
decline of 0.5% in Q1 2021. Businesses at 40-50% of capacity at best were
looking forward to a higher tempo with the vaccine roll-out. But alas, the
roll-out is so slow, it may take at least one year to reach “herd” immunity.
Under MCO 3.0 and dine-in banned, restaurants, retail outlets lost
70-80% of the pre-pandemic revenue. Others are further behind – especially
hotel and airline sectors. In all probability, MCO 3.0 or a full lockdown will be
extended to mid -July. Then more SMEs will fold-up. SME Association expects 40%
of SMEs to close operations. Even if it is a new version of MCO 1.0, we will
have more bankruptcies as well.
In the current lockdown phase the economy will lose RM 2.4 billion
per day or about RM 72 billion if it is for a month.
So, what do SMEs want?
We need cash relief for wages, rental relief, loan relief or
another loan moratorium. Small/micro businesses, the self-employed and those
paid on daily or weekly wages should be given relief because they are the most
impacted by the restriction on movement.
Is that too much to ask when this is not our doing? And the
pandemic is not going away soon, even with the vaccine rollout at full steam.
SMEs will need 12-18 months to get back on their feet after it is finally over.
Meanwhile, how will one sustain monthly wages, rental or interest on loans –
key components of total expenses? This idea of cutting OPR is optical, why
bother with interest cost when we are dead!
Remember Makcik Kiah?
Makcik Kiah sells (or used to sell) banana fritters (pisang
goreng) as our PM claims. She lives in a Government housing project. Her
husband, a Government pensioner, earns extra income as a Grab driver. Their
daughter depends on PTPTN for her studies while their unmarried son lives with
them.
She is livid! No savings, no money to pay rent, no customers and
no funds to settle loans or utilities. She is in deeper debt and no idea where
help will come from. Mr. PM can you see her after taking a 50% wage cut?
Well said.
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