Wednesday, 8 May 2019

Empty Homes and Unsold Properties



The number of empty homes across England rose to more than 216,000 units by October 2018 – highest since 2012. This accounts for £53.6 billion in value.

The biggest rise in long-term empty homes (of over 6 months) was in Portsmouth. In London, the number of empty homes is now 22,481, representing £10.7 billion worth of property. Of this, the highest numbers were in Southwark (1,766), Croydon (1,521) and Camden (1,210). Outside London, the ones with the highest empty homes include Birmingham, Durham, Bradford and Liverpool.

A yet-to-be published report suggests that almost 50 million homes or roughly 22% of urban housing stock in China is vacant. That’s a huge supply. Vanke, a major property developer in China, will focus on survival for next three years.

The overhang in Malaysia increased to 32,313 units valued at RM19.9 billion in 2018, an increase of about 30% in volume and value. Most of which are in Perak (2,905 units) and Kuala Lumpur (2,692 units).

Meanwhile, unsold, unconstructed units also increased to 19,865 units, up by 57.3%. In addition, unsold, under construction units also rose to 80,984 units, an increase of 31%.

The number of new launches recorded in 2018 was 66,040 units, a contraction of 15% compared to 2017. To address the overhang, the Government has announced initiatives including Home Ownership Campaign, exemption of stamp duties and other administrative support.

The real problem is lenders are rather cautious and may have breached or are close to breaching the broad property sector limit set by Bank Negara. Unless the property market is addressed holistically by creating a National Housing Corporation that deleverages banks/developers and addresses the B40 issues with subsidy support/guarantees, it will be a piecemeal/incremental effort that only cause sustained indigestion.



References:
1. Number of empty homes in England rises to more than 216,000, Julia Kollewe, The Guardian, 11 Mar 2019
2. Over 30% increase in unsold residential properties in Malaysia, Eugene Mahalingam, The Star, 30 Apr 2019
3. A shocking 50 million empty homes in China, Vision Times, Nov 24, 2018

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