Gas-Fired
power is returning to Malaysia’s energy mix as policymakers move to extend
ageing plants and roll out new capacity to meet surging electricity demand. Malakoff
Corp Bhd is
the latest to secure extensions until Dec 31, 2029, for three of its gas-fired
power plants, with a combined effective capacity of about 2.1GW.
These
comprise the 1,303MW Segari combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plant in Perak,
the GB3 open cycle gas turbine plant in Perak and the Prai CCGT plant in
Penang. Similar approvals were granted to Tenaga
Nasional Bhd (TNB)
late last year.
Source: https://commons.wikimedia.org
The utility
secured letters of notification (LON) for three gas-fired plants, with a
combined capacity of about 1.3GW, under the Energy Commission’s (EC) Category 1
tender in May last year to award extensions of concession periods to existing
gas-fired plants with expired or soon-to-expire power purchase agreements
(PPAs). Analysts expect the three TNB plants to begin commercialisation in
mid-2026 until 2030. Analysts also see scope for TNB to secure extensions for a
further 1.2GW of capacity.
Petroliam
Nasional Bhd (PETRONAS) announced plans to buy more liquefied natural gas (LNG)
from Qatar Energy, securing long-term supply to meet the rising gas demand
fuelled by the coal-to-gas shift and expanding data centre (DC) capacity.
Apart from
extensions of ageing plants, another 6GW to 8GW of greenfield gas projects are
expected under the EC’s Category 2 tender – the first such developments in over
a decade.
The renewed
focus on gas is in line with the government’s National Energy Transition
Roadmap, which sees gas playing a critical role in the power mix as a flexible,
lower-emission bridge between coal and renewable energy (RE).
In a
report, CGS International (CGSI) Research estimates each extension for
Malakoff’s smaller plants can generate around RM20mil per year in net profit on
average. This is based on an assumption of a 45% to 55% reduction in capacity
payments – which is the fixed payments that plant owners receive for making
electricity available to the grid – relative to the initial PPAs. However,
these plants are a stopgap ahead of new gas projects slated for award by the
first quarter of 2026 and commissioning in 2029 to 2030.
Looking
ahead, power demand in Malaysia is expected to grow strongly, with CGSI
Research projecting around 7% per year between 2024 and 2030, driven in part by
the multi-phase ramp-up of contracted DC loads. Notably, the country’s reserve
margin, which is the cushion of capacity above peak demand, fell to 29% in
2024, the first reading under 30% since 2016, as demand surged.
Industry
players say new or non-traditional independent power producers (IPPs) may also
emerge. Petronas
Gas Bhd (PetGas),
which could leverage its upstream gas resources, midstream infrastructure, and
strong balance sheet to compete. PetGas made its entry into power generation,
albeit in a smaller scale, with the 285MW Kimanis Power Plant in Sabah. Its
second gas-fired plant in Kimanis, a 100MW peaking facility, is to come online
in 2026.
Beyond the
traditional IPPs, CGSI Research says additional capacity needs could create
opportunities for unlisted players such as Edra Power Holdings Sdn Bhd and
Selangor government-backed Worldwide Holdings Bhd, operator of the 1,200MW
Pulau Indah Power Plant.
However,
the cost of gas turbines for a CCGT plant has doubled in recent years, now
estimated at US$1mil to US$1.5mil per MW, according to AmResearch. The global
shortage of gas turbines is due to the surge in orders from the United States
and the Middle East, as well as rising labour and material costs.
For plant
owners, the economics remain favourable: based on current PPAs for CCGT plants,
AmResearch says a 1,400MW plant could earn RM200mil to RM300mil per year before
interest and taxes in its early years of commissioning, with annual capacity
payments of RM500mil to RM600mil. So, it is who gets to own one. Track record
or connection. Maybe both!
Reference:
IPPs plug back in, Gurmeet Kaur, Star Biz7,
The Star, 09 Feb 2026