Monday 31 January 2022

Genting Hong Kong Implodes!

Genting Hong Kong (“GHK”) chairman and chief executive officer Lim Kok Thay resigned, days after the company filed to wind up its business as cruise operator. All this because of Covid-19. Mr Lim, who owns 76 per cent of Genting Hong Kong, stepped down with effect from Jan 21, 2022.

More than two years into the pandemic, GHK is headed for liquidation.  The company’s shares are halted in Hong Kong. GHK is a stark example of how the virus has brought once-thriving businesses to their knees. 

Source: https://www.cruiseindustrynews.com

The company founded in 1993 was to diversify its risk away from the Genting group’s flagship casino resort in Malaysia. Genting, Genting Singapore and Genting Malaysia - have no cross shareholdings with GHK except for Mr Lim being a common stakeholder in all four.

While GHK offered “seacations” as part of a broader trend of cruises to nowhere, it still reported a record US$1.7 billion (S$2.29 billion) loss in May and its stock plunged more than 50 per cent since early of 2020. The company said in its winding-up petition that its cash was expected to run out around end January and it had no access to further funding. Earlier this month, its wholly owned shipbuilding subsidiary, MV Werften, filed for insolvency in a local court in Germany. 

Three Malaysian banks’ profits are set to take a major hit because of the above development. A report by Singapore’s Straits Times said that Malayan Banking (Maybank), CIMB and RHB are among some the unsecured creditors of Genting Hong Kong, with a combined exposure of US$600 million (RM2.5 billion).

It is probable that these banks may have provided fully for their exposures. Nevertheless, details will not be forthcoming under client confidentiality. The only way round this is for the Malaysian Parliament to set up a Banking and Finance Committee, as in the U.S. to understand exposures and implications to shareholders and the economy.

References:
Genting Hong Kong CEO Lim Kok Thay resigns after cruise operator files to wind-up, Straits Times, 24 Jan 2022 (https://www.straitstimes.com) 

Problems at cruise operator Genting Hong Kong could cause major financial trouble for three Malaysian banks, Ashman Adam, 23 Jan 2022 (https://malaysia.news.yahoo.com)

Friday 28 January 2022

BlackRock Owns the World?

BlackRock, based in New York, is an American Multinational Investment management firm. Founded by Larry Fink and Rob Kapito in 1988, this firm has massively grown in the past 33 years. It now manages a staggering $9.5 trillion. 

This amount is not their own but is the assets that they manage on behalf of their clients. Almost 60% of the total managed assets are for institutional investors.


Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BlackRock


The answer to the question of why BlackRock owns the world could be explained in just one line: “their clients are their first priority”. This makes them outshine others. 

This market leader believes in trying a hand in every sector and so has shares and voting rights in many of the biggest European companies in sectors such as energy, oil and gas, and of course finance. The company holds bonds, has real estate interests, and is an auditor and advisor along with being an investor of governments and central banks.

BlackRock is not run by an individual but a team of more than 16,000 employees in over 35+ different countries. The firm believes in chasing excellence which is procured when work is done as a team with everyone contributing their best. According to a survey done, 72% of employees at the company are satisfied with their job.

The key issue here is not its size but the data/information that it owns. It could take advantage or sell to third parties the information procured. How do you stop this? A juggernaut that is bigger than most governments may not listen to legitimate concerns!

References:
1. BlackRock: The company that you never heard of, owns the world! Yukti Thakur, August 12, 2021 (https://craffic.co.in)

2. Here are 9 fascinating facts to know about BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset manager, Rebecca Ungarino (https://www.businessinsider.com)

Thursday 27 January 2022

Secrets of the World’s Happiest Countries

Each year, a group of happiness experts from around the globe rank 156 countries based on how "happy" citizens are. They publish their findings in the World Happiness Report. Happiness might seem like an elusive concept to quantify, but there is a science to it.

When researchers talk about "happiness," they're referring to "satisfaction with the way one's life is going," Jeff Sachs, co-creator of the World Happiness Report and a professor at Columbia University, told recently. "It's not primarily a measure of whether one laughed or smiled yesterday, but how one feels about the course of one's life," he says.

Since the report began in 2012, Nordic countries — which include Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finland and Iceland, plus the Faroe Islands and Greenland— consistently turn up at the top of the list. (The United States, on the other hand, lands somewhere around 18th or 19th place. Malaysia is 81).


Source: https://www.theatlantic.com


In 2019, Finland was ranked No. 1 for the second year in a row. Again, topped for 2020. In 2017, it was Norway, and Denmark grabbed first place in 2013 and 2016. Switzerland nabbed the top rank in 2015. This is no coincidence. Nordic countries rank so high on the happiness report because they have things like free education and healthcare, low crime rates, cushy social security nets, a relatively homogeneous population and they're fairly prosperous.

Perhaps most importantly, these countries prioritize balance, which is the "formula for happiness," Sachs says. "They're not societies that are aiming for all of the effort and time to becoming gazillionaires, they're looking for a good balance of life and the results are extremely positive," he says.
A "full-time" workweek in Denmark is typically 37 hours spread over the course of five days. On the other hand, the average American works 44 hours per week, or 8.8 hours per day, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

While many Americans see working late as badge of honor and a way to get ahead, in Denmark it's seen as a weakness — it shows you can't get things done in the allotted work time.
To be as efficient as possible, Danes don't really socialize at work, or take breaks to run errands. Free time is "the most important thing they have," so it's rare that people would hang out with co-workers after working hours.

In Denmark, full-time employees are guaranteed five weeks of vacation time, regardless of their position or field of work. To put that in perspective, the average American worker with five years of experience is given 15 days of paid vacation, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In Finland, many people spend their summers in cottages, called "mokki," where they unplug and relax with family and friends.

Freedom is another value that matters in a society, and determines someone's well-being, Sachs says. "Can you shape your life the way you want? If you're trapped by poverty, if you're trapped by debt, the answer will be no," he says. "If you have an opportunity to pursue the kind of life you want, the answer is yes. And if yes, that makes people a lot happier."

No matter where you live, research shows that finding work that really maps onto your core values can make you happier.

Although the culture and safety net in Nordic countries seems to promote happiness, life is not all warm. Nordic countries pay some of the highest taxes in the world. In Denmark, for example, there's a 25% sales tax, and a 150% tax on cars. People in Nordic countries are happy to pay those taxes because they get great universal social services in return. For example, daycare, public education including college and healthcare. 

What will make us happy in Malaysia? We need a government with high integrity, caring for its people and believe in a work-life balance. It is pointless to suggest that we pay higher taxes if the Government is corrupt. Kleptocrats and cronies will “skin” the taxes for themselves. Nordic countries have very high integrity and people don’t steal on the street or in the office.

Then we need policies that are needs-based and not race-based. Religion is left as a private matter between you and God – not a public display of arrogance!

Employers need to treat employees as humans and not expect output today when it could be done tomorrow. Employers also need to consciously reduce work hours to 37 hours, 4 ½ days a week (Dubai is an example).

Maybe the Human Resources Ministry could map-out strategies after they do the usual “lawatan sambil belajar” of Finland or Denmark?

References:
1. Work-life balance secrets from the happiest countries in the world, Cory Stieg (https://www.cnbc.com)

2. We’re learning the wrong lessons from the world’s happiest countries, Joe Pinsker, 27 June 2021 (www.theatlantic.com)

Wednesday 26 January 2022

Will “Rich” EPF Savers Help The Poorer Members?

An interesting proposition made by Cindy Yeap, The Edge Malaysia is for EPF savers to help those with very little savings. Cindy suggests that policymakers could find out from the top 0.5% of the 14.9 million Employees Provident Fund (EPF) members who collectively hold 12.4% of the savings managed by the provident fund at end-2020. Or better, ask the top 2.2% or some 245,805 EPF members with at least RM500,000 in savings each, who collectively hold a quarter of the savings managed by the fund at end-2020. 

The top 0.5% refers to the 248 EPF members with at least RM10 million each saved with the provident fund at end-2020, as well as the 67,919 members who had saved between RM1 million and RM10 million each.

There were also 245,805 EPF members who had at least RM500,000 but less than RM1 million saved with the EPF at end-2020. This group makes up 1.7% of the total number of EPF members but have 12.8% of the savings managed by the provident fund.

According to The Edge’s calculations based on EPF’s membership and savings data at end-2020 as well as the dividend of RM47.64 billion (5.09% blended yield) distributed to members that year, around RM1.7 billion could collectively be redistributed to the lower-income group if EPF members with at least RM500,000 agree to receive a slightly lower dividend for savings above RM500,000 — while still having an effective dividend rate of between 3% and 5.08% instead of the blanket rate of just over 5.1%.




Their sacrifice could potentially raise effective yield for someone with only RM5,000 savings with EPF to 6.03%.

The 248 EPF members with at least RM10 million saved with EPF, however, would be deemed wealthy by most standards.

Just as how an opt-out system was applied when the government reduced the statutory contribution rate for employees to 7% or 9% (from 11%) during the pandemic, the government can ask EPF members with more than RM500,000, RM1 million or RM10 million to opt out if they choose not to sacrifice part of their dividends to help B40 or M40 (bottom or middle 40% income group) EPF members with less savings.

Tax credits or some other form of acknowledgement of their sacrifice may sweeten the deal for EPF multimillionaires. According to the Edge, an opt-in or opt-out system would also allay fears of the government arbitrarily taking dividends away from EPF members with more savings, many of whom may not really be all that wealthy but have been disciplined and not prematurely tapped their retirement savings.

On the first glance, it is appealing to the “rich” to assist the poorer segments of society. This is our subsidy mentality. Are we a socialist state? In China, the Government could confiscate your house (or any other asset) because all land belongs to the state.

But then, don’t we have compassion to help the poor? The key issue is low wages. The country has been promoting the “low-cost” economy thesis for the last 40 years. It is time to change wages, otherwise we will have more foreign workers and those locals remain in low-income jobs. Productivity and wages have to change.

To address the issues, several steps could be effected:
  • Raise retirement age to 65%;
  • EPF will secure Government support to “top-up” account 1 of the bottom 10% impacted by Covid-withdrawals (through bond issuance subscribed by “rich” EPF contributors);
  • Increase minimum wage to RM1,500 initially, with the view of RM2,000 in 3 years time; and 
  • Establish a joint public-private commission on wages

If you have to tax, then tax income or wealth, not contributors to a retirement fund. No matter what political stripe, this idea of using a retirement fund to address social issues is not the way forward. One may consider a higher tax for the “super-rich” (or the corrupt) to “save” the poor but please not a “tax” on “rich” contributors to a retirement fund! Otherwise, we could next have a “tax” on fixed deposits held above RM250,000 and not guaranteed by PIDM?


Reference:
Would multimillionaire EPF savers help poorer members? Cindy Yeap, The Edge Malaysia, 24 January 2022) https://www.theedgemarkets.com

Tuesday 25 January 2022

Have Rich Countries Drained the Global South?

Recent research demonstrates that rich countries continue to rely on a large net appropriation from the global South. This flow of net appropriation occurs because prices are systematically lower in the South than in the North. For instance, wages paid to Southern workers are on average one-fifth the level of Northern wages. This means that for every unit of embodied labour and resources that the South imports from the North, they have to export many more units to pay for it.


Source: https://vesabarileva.medium.com

Economists Samir Amin and Arghiri Emmanuel described this as a “hidden transfer of value” from the South, which sustains high levels of income and consumption in the North. The drain takes place subtly and almost invisibly, without the overt violence of colonial occupation and therefore without provoking protest and moral outrage.

In a recent paper published in the journal New Political Economy, the work of Amin and others to quantify the scale of drain through unequal exchange in the post-colonial era was established. The drain increased dramatically during the 1980s and 1990s, as neoliberal structural adjustment programmes were imposed across the global South. Today, the global North drains from the South commodities worth $2.2 trillion per year, in Northern prices. For perspective, that amount of money would be enough to end extreme poverty, globally, fifteen times over.

Over the whole period from 1960 to today, the drain totalled $62 trillion in real terms. If this value had been retained by the South and contributed to Southern growth, tracking with the South’s growth rates over this period, it would be worth $152 trillion today.

These are extraordinary sums. For the global North (and these are the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Japan, Korea, and the rich economies of Europe), the gains are so large that, for the past couple of decades, they have outstripped the rate of economic growth. In other words, net growth in the North relies on appropriation from the rest of the world.

For the South, the losses outstrip foreign aid transfers by a wide margin. For every dollar of aid the South receives, they lose $14 in drain through unequal exchange alone. This is not counting other kinds of losses like illicit financial outflows and profit repatriation. Of course, the ratio varies by country – higher for some than others – but in all cases, the discourse of aid obscures a darker reality of plunder. Poor countries are developing rich countries, not the other way around.

Neoclassical economists tend to see low wages in the South as “natural” – a kind of neutral market outcome. But Amin and other economists from the global South argue that wage inequalities are artefacts of political power.

Rich countries have a monopoly on decision-making in the World Bank and IMF, they hold most of the bargaining power in the World Trade Organization, they use their power as creditors to dictate economic policy in debtor nations, and they control 97 percent of the world’s patents. Northern states and corporations leverage this power to cheapen the prices of labour and resources in the global South, which allows them to achieve a net appropriation through trade.

During the 1980s and 1990s, IMF structural adjustment programmes cut public sector wages and employment, while rolling back labour rights and other protective regulations, all of which cheapened labour and resources. Today, poor countries are structurally dependent on foreign investment and have no choice but to compete with one another to offer cheap labour and resources in order to please the barons of international finance. This ensures a steady flow of disposable gadgets and fast fashion to affluent Northern consumers, but at extraordinary cost to human lives and ecosystems in the South.

There are several ways to fix this problem. One would be to democratise the institutions of global economic governance. Poor countries will then have a fairer say in setting the terms of trade and finance. Another step would be to ensure that poor countries have the right to use tariffs, subsidies and other industrial policies to build sovereign economic capacity. A global living wage system and an international framework for environmental regulations, and this would put a floor on labour and resource prices.

All of this would enable the South to capture a fairer share of income from international trade and free its countries to mobilise their resources. But achieving these goals will not be easy; it will require an organised front among social movements toward a fairer world, against those who profit so prodigiously from the status quo.

Reference:

Rich countries drained $152tn from the global south since 1960, Jason Hickel, Dylan Sullivan, Huzaifa Zoomkawala, 6 May 2021 (https://www.aljazeera.com) 


Monday 24 January 2022

PDPC and IRB in Conflict?

The Personal Data Protection Commissioner (PDPC)’s office functions independently of Government’s interference. Section 45 of the Personal Data Protection Act (PDPA) 2010 permits disclosure of personal information without consent for:

  • Prevention and detection of crime;   
  • Apprehension and prosecution of offenders;
  • Assessment or collection of tax or duty or if any imposition of a similar nature

Source: https://www.malaymail.com


The PDPC has not responded on Government’s decision to give Inland Revenue Board (IRB) access to taxpayer’s bank account details under the latest amendment of Section 106A of the Income Tax Act 1967.

In the U.K., HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) has the power to check personal information about taxpayers they're investigating by issuing a ‘third party notice’ to banks and other institutions. This power does have some restrictions, but HMRC intends to introduce a separate ‘financial institution notice’ for gathering financial information. HMRC won’t need approval from a tax tribunal to issue this notice (the independent tax tribunal is responsible for appeals against decisions made by HMRC). HMRC will have to let the taxpayer know why they’re asking for the information – unless a tax tribunal rules that this condition shouldn’t apply. This means HMRC could potentially ask for financial information without the taxpayer’s permission.

The kinds of third-party data HMRC wants to access include:
  • Bank and building society interest (building on the information already available)
  • Dividends from UK companies and distributions from authorised unit trusts
  • Distributions from UK and overseas open-ended investment companies
  • Pension contributions
  • Gift aid payments to charities
  • Data from investment and wealth managers including information about chargeable gains, excess reportable income, interest, dividends and equalisation payments
  • Insurance bond chargeable events
  • Royalties

It seems authorities around the world are seeking additional powers to secure more data. Then there is Facebook (and the like) who have volumes of personal information for third parties. Without consent, or at least notification, the PDPA is becoming an anachronism. We are moving slowly but surely into totalitarianism without realising it. The “far right” in America or Europe prefer a dictator like Trump and with information centralised. It will then be very similar to communist regimes in Russia or China. Do we want this?

References:

1. IRB accessing taxpayers’ bank account: The deafening silence of PDPC, George Mathews, Focus Malaysia, 20/12/2021

2. IRB to have access to taxpayers’ bank account details under new amendment, MYsinchew, 14/12/2021

3. Can HMRC check your bank account without your permission? Sam Bromley, 21/8/2020 (www.simplybusiness.co.uk)

Friday 21 January 2022

Is Huawei Bouncing Back?

The US carried out a negative campaign against Huawei, but its sanctions have made the firm more innovative to break the technology stranglehold. Huawei is now bouncing back. The company has not accepted its fate or the vice the US has placed around it to cut it off from global chip supplies. 


Source: https://en.wikipedia.org

Washington’s primary weapon against Chinese companies has been its Commerce department’s“entity list” – a prohibition which seeks to block the export of sensitive or critical technologies to the designated target. Both the Biden and Trump administrations have been obsessed with it. The US believes it can contain China's rise in critical technologies by blocking supplies of high-end technology, crippling the capabilities of the businesses. 

Washington has assumed that China will struggle to innovate the respective technology needed itself. But because the United States made the challenge against Huawei political, the company, and China as a whole, has a point to prove by ensuring its success. The firm has subsequently poured billions into not only redeveloping and expanding the scope of its business, but also towards making itself self-reliant.

Huawei has one of the highest research and development budgets, the fifth-highest worldwide as a company, which last year alone exceeded $20 billion. In fact, this R&D budget alone as a company exceeds that of entire countries, such as Australia. How does Huawei afford it? The company receives billions through its dominance of 5G patents. 

Huawei also quietly announced that it would launch its own chipset by 2022. How is it going to do this? The company clearly has something up its sleeve.

But one thing is clear: against all odds, Huawei has set itself on the path towards breaking out of the US tech embargo placed on it. Americans have repeatedly said China can’t innovate and have persistently accused them of “stealing technology”.  But what happens if a single company not only finds a way to outdo this, but likewise provides means to other blacklisted firms as well? Huawei appears to be not only preparing to create new chips in the long run, but potentially semiconductor-related equipment too. 

In trying to kill the ‘monster’, America has created a bigger, stronger one. Washington’s politicians may not have realized their mistake yet, but when they do, it may hit them hard.

Reference:

The Chinese tech giant America tried to crush rises again, Tom Fowdy, 29/12/2021

(https://www.rt.com/op-ed/544709-us-campaign-against-huawei/)



Thursday 20 January 2022

US Billionaires 'pay almost no income tax'

ProPublica says it has seen the tax returns of some of the world's richest people, including Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and Warren Buffett. The website alleges Amazon's Mr Bezos paid no tax in 2007 and 2011, while Tesla's Mr Musk paid nothing in 2018.

ProPublica said it was analysing what it called a "vast trove of Internal Revenue Service data" on the taxes of the billionaires, and would release further details over coming weeks.

The alleged leak comes at a time of growing debate about the amount of tax paid by the wealthy and widening inequality. ProPublica said the richest 25 Americans pay less in tax - an average of 15.8% of adjusted gross income - than most mainstream US workers.




So while the value of their wealth grows enormously through their ownership of shares in their company, that's not recorded as income. Billionaires buy an asset, build one or inherit a fortune, and then borrow against their wealth. Because they don't realise any gains or sell any stock, they're not taking any income, which could be taxed.

Using perfectly legal tax strategies, many of the super-rich are able to shrink their federal tax bills to nothing or close to it even as their wealth soared over the past few years.

The wealthy, as with many ordinary citizens, are able to reduce their income tax bills via such things as charitable donations and drawing money from investment income rather than wage income.

ProPublica, using data collected by Forbes magazine, said the wealth of the 25 richest Americans collectively jumped by $401bn from 2014 to 2018 - but they paid $13.6bn in income tax over those years. President Joe Biden has vowed to increase tax on the richest Americans as part of a mission to improve equality and raise money for his massive infrastructure investment programme. He wants to raise the top rate of tax, double the tax on what high earners make from investments, and change inheritance tax.

ProPublica, an investigative website, has written several articles about how budget cuts at the US Internal Revenue Service have hampered its ability to enforce tax rules on the wealthy and large corporations. The news organisation said it received the leaked documents in response to these articles.

What's going wrong here? Let's take a very simplified analysis. If the shares I own in the company I founded are worth £1bn at the beginning of the tax year and rise to a value of £2bn by the end of the tax year - how much income tax do I owe? Zero. Because while I am twice as rich, I received zero income.

On the other hand, if I have zero assets, and I make £30,000 in income, I will pay roughly £6,000 in income tax and national insurance. 

Small wonder that many politicians around the world (Elizabeth Warren in the US and Jeremy Corbyn/John McDonnell in the UK) and academics such as Thomas Piketty have argued for a way to tax wealth, not income.

Defenders of the present model say it is capitalism at work - but as with the new global consensus on taxing multinationals - the clamour for tax change is getting louder. The same can be said for Malaysia. We need a major tax reform but the elite will resist and promote GST – a regressive tax that impacts the poor more than the rich.

Reference
US billionaires “pay almost no income tax” (https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57383869)

Wednesday 19 January 2022

Did Britain Steal $45 Trillion From India?

There is a story that is commonly told in Britain that the colonisation of India was not of any major economic benefit to Britain itself. If anything, the administration of India was a cost to Britain. So the fact that the empire was sustained for so long – the story goes – was a gesture of Britain’s benevolence.

Source: https://www.indiapost.com

The renowned economist Utsa Patnaik – published in 2018 (Columbia University Press) – deals a crushing blow to this narrative. Drawing on nearly two centuries of detailed data on tax and trade, Patnaik calculated that Britain drained a total of nearly $45 trillion from India during the period 1765 to 1938. 

It happened through the trade system. Prior to the colonial period, Britain bought goods like textiles and rice from Indian producers and paid for them in the normal way – mostly with silver – as they did with any other country. But something changed in 1765, shortly after the East India Company took control of the subcontinent and established a monopoly over Indian trade. They began collecting taxes in India, and then cleverly used a portion of those revenues (about a third) to fund the purchase of Indian goods for British use. In other words, instead of paying for Indian goods out of their own pocket, British traders acquired them for free, “buying” from peasants and weavers using money that had just been taken from them. It was theft on a grand scale. Yet most Indians were unaware of what was going on because the agent who collected the taxes was not the same as the one who showed up to buy their goods. 

Some of the stolen goods were consumed in Britain, and the rest were re-exported elsewhere. The re-export system allowed Britain to finance a flow of imports from Europe, including strategic materials like iron, tar and timber, which were essential to Britain’s industrialisation. Indeed, the Industrial Revolution depended in large part on this systematic theft from India.

On top of this, the British were able to sell the stolen goods to other countries for much more than they “bought” them for in the first place, pocketing not only 100 percent of the original value of the goods but also the mark-up.

After the British Raj took over in 1858, colonisers added a special new twist to the tax-and-buy system. As the East India Company’s monopoly broke down, Indian producers were allowed to export their goods directly to other countries. But Britain made sure that the payments for those goods nonetheless ended up in London. 

Meanwhile, London ended up with all of the gold and silver that should have gone directly to the Indians in exchange for their exports.

This corrupt system meant that even while India was running an impressive trade surplus with the rest of the world – a surplus that lasted for three decades in the early 20th century – it showed up as a deficit in the national accounts because the real income from India’s exports was appropriated in its entirety by Britain. 

Britain used the windfall from this fraudulent system to fuel the engines of imperial violence – funding the invasion of China in the 1840s and the suppression of the Indian Rebellion in 1857. And this was on top of what the Crown took directly from Indian taxpayers to pay for its wars. As Patnaik points out, “the cost of all Britain’s wars of conquest outside Indian borders were charged always wholly or mainly to Indian revenues.” 

And that’s not all. Britain used this flow of tribute from India to finance the expansion of capitalism in Europe and regions of European settlement, like Canada and Australia. So not only the industrialisation of Britain but also the industrialisation of much of the Western world was facilitated by extraction from the colonies.

Patnaik identifies four distinct economic periods in colonial India from 1765 to 1938, calculates the extraction for each, and then compounds at a modest rate of interest (about 5 percent, which is lower than the market rate) from the middle of each period to the present. Adding it all up, she finds that the total drain amounts to $44.6 trillion. This figure is conservative, she says, and does not include the debts that Britain imposed on India during the Raj.

All of this is a sobering antidote to the rosy narrative promoted by certain powerful voices in Britain. The conservative historian Niall Ferguson has claimed that British rule helped “develop” India. While he was prime minister, David Cameron asserted that British rule was a net help to India.

This narrative has found considerable traction in the popular imagination: according to a 2014 YouGov poll, 50 percent of people in Britain believe that colonialism was beneficial to the colonies. Yet during the entire 200-year history of British rule in India, there was almost no increase in per capita income. In fact, during the last half of the 19th century – the heyday of British intervention – income in India collapsed by half. The average life expectancy of Indians dropped by a fifth from 1870 to 1920. Tens of millions died needlessly of policy-induced famine. Britain didn’t develop India. Quite the contrary – as Patnaik’s work makes clear – India developed Britain.

What does this require of Britain today? An apology? Absolutely. Reparations? Perhaps – although there is not enough money in all of Britain to cover the sums that Patnaik identifies. In the meantime, start by setting the story straight in its school history books and universities. Seek ways to work for prosperity of both nations without the scam! 

Reference:

How Britain stole $45 trillion from India, Jason Hickel, Al-Jazeera, Dec 2018 (https://www.aljazeera.com)



Monday 17 January 2022

When Custodians Fail...?

The sudden resignation of political economist Dr Edmund Terence Gomez from the consultation and corruption prevention panel of the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission (MACC) has raised grave concerns. Many civil society leaders have thrown their support behind Gomez. But not the PM.

The public are not naïve or stupid. People want efforts to clean up this nation, especially from corruption.


Source: https://aliran.com


Many had hoped the MACC would be the ultimate saviour. But this is not to be. 

The MACC and the government have a tough job now. Unless the truth is upheld, Malaysia will sink further. A quick, honest admission and convincing, corrective action including suspension or resignation of the MACC Chief are the only means to improve public perception. Unless we face up to the truth, we will never enhance our country’s future. 

Accountability has to be at all levels – at home, at school, at work or at play, we need to be accountable to our fellow citizens. When a society continues to shun public accountability, corruption extends and mediocrity rules. Look at our national football team, always pathetic. Why? No one is accountable except the head coach! We focus on form rather than substance. “Gaya mesti ada, isi takda takpe”

We are losing our economic advantage while our neighbours excel by harnessing diversity. We are fast losing our resources whether oil or timber and live off 5-Year Plans. The inequality gap remains yawning with Gini co-efficient at 0.4. With Covid and its effects more people from the middle class have dropped into the lower-income group.

Our national happiness index has plunged. Is happiness not the concern of those in the corridors of power?
We need to stop talking about fighting corruption and start acting decisively. Not two standards – one for the “rich and famous” and another for the “ikan bilis”.
We don’t need Task Forces, Commissions and Committees to tell us what went wrong. We need true leadership on ethics, integrity, accountability and principles. We need solid measures to change institutions not integrity units in the office of the CEO. We need people of the 60s or 70s to put in place the right values in schools, workplaces and institutions. We need a resolve to change course. We need to come together as never before to put the interest of each other and put away fears perpetuated by “narrow” politicians. Otherwise, we all know where we will end up and God forbid that!

Reference:
When custodians fail the people, is there still hope? JD Lovrenciear, Aliran, 8 Jan 2022
(https://aliran.com)

Friday 14 January 2022

Is Retirement a Thing of the Past?

Recent lab experiments have been successful in increasing the lifespan of mice by between 60% and 500% by amending their genetic structure and ‘switching off’ the genes responsible for ageing. If these treatments can be successfully administered on humans, it could represent a longer life expectancy of 100-150 years!

Source: https://flagtheory.com



What are the possible ramifications of such a phenomenon?

1. Working Longer

At present, the average lifespan for adults in Singapore is 82.14 years while the retirement age is 62 years. In the Southeast Asia region, for Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand, the retirement ages are 60, 58, and 60 respectively.  As the regional median figures represent an approximate retirement age at the 75% milestone in a person’s life, some argue that the retirement age could be revised to 75 if life expectancy is 100 years old, or retirement could be pegged at 112.5 years if average life expectancy increases to 150 years.

While this may seem ridiculous at the moment, the reality of the situation is that the retirement age is being revised upwards regularly. As a result, people are actively working and contributing to society for a longer time than they used to. Due to better healthcare facilities, most working adults now also accumulate more savings during their working careers and have a longer time to enjoy retirement with their families and loved ones.

2. The Start of a Real Life

In recent years, an interesting phenomenon has developed amongst senior members of the workforce with sufficient savings. Many of these industry veterans, upon retiring from their careers, have started pursuing paths in an area of personal interest, such as giving talks, teaching, coaching, or politics!

These seniors remain active and achieve satisfaction from these activities, and they are not motivated purely by financial returns. For many, they have termed this as the “start of their real life”.

3. Meaning of Retirement is Not the Same for All

With the ever-rising costs of living, some retirees take up part-time jobs to cover their daily expenses and maintain their quality of life. Retirees who do not wish to take up this option must rely on a substantial amount of savings invested in fixed deposits and bonds in order to live off the dividends they receive.

In a nutshell, the key notion of retirement is about adjusting. Retirees are expected to adjust to a new lifestyle, and new perspectives on money and life as a whole. Individual retirees have the responsibility of deciding how much they will need, and what kind of lifestyle they are keen to pursue upon retirement.

For some, retirement happens when their health no longer supports their working lifestyle. For others, retirement is an active decision made when they wish to spend more time with their family and loved ones. Regardless of the reasons, retirement is a milestone stage in our lives, and planning is a key part of preparing for this phase.

4. Uncertainty of Comfortable Life Ahead?

Retirement can coincide with a litany of unexpected expenses, many of which are linked to health care treatments. Planning ahead allows future retirees to set aside a sum for these treatments, or to have adequate insurance coverage to take care of these needs as and when they arise.

In fact, these unexpected expenses may seem insurmountable even during an economic downturn, if job retrenchments become commonplace as they have during Covid-19.

Malaysia’s EPF has been generous in allowing for savings to be used for immediate needs. The result is many are without adequate funds to retire. They may then depend on children who many not have the resources to support their parents.

Tragically, many are “abandoned” in old folks homes to die. This sad state of affairs could have been avoided if there is some planning on a suitable retirement plan. The other alternative of course is of course to work or start a new business/career at 75!

Reference:
What does retirement mean when ageing may soon be a thing of the past? 
(http://www.tokiomarine.com/sg)

Thursday 13 January 2022

What is Skim Saraan Bercagar (SSB) by Cagamas?

SSB by Cagamas (an associate company of BNM) is a reverse mortgage loan for retired home owners. Through reverse mortgage, cash is generated during retirement without sacrificing home ownership. This allows you to continue staying in your family home without repayment during your lifetime. Retired home owners can use the monthly payout amount for any purpose, such as medical-related expenses and other necessities to make their retirement years more comfortable.

The reverse mortgage loan only requires settlement upon the demise of the borrower or joint borrower, whichever occurs later. No repayment is required during their lifetime and the property will only be sold to settle any outstanding loan amount upon the demise of the borrower or last surviving joint borrower. Any residual balance from that will go towards your estate.

Benefits of SSB’s Reverse Mortgage



Why should you consider SSB?



How It Works

Skim Saraan Bercagar (SSB) is a reverse mortgage loan. It allows retired home owners to convert a residential property asset into a fixed source of monthly income throughout their retirement years. Home ownership is retained, allowing them to stay in their home throughout the tenure of the loan.

Loan Repayment




Eligibility


..................................................................


The above article is an extract of information available from Cagamas website (https://ssb.cagamas.com.my)











Wednesday 12 January 2022

Malaysia’s Wealth Inequality

If you have more than RM155,000 savings in the Employees Provident Fund (EPF), you are among the top 10% of EPF’s 14.9 million members. In total, the top 10% have 59.1% of EPF’s total assets of RM936.2 billion.

The bottom 10% of EPF members have less than RM659 in savings. In total, their savings is barely 0.05% of EPF’s assets. The wealth of the top 0.3% of EPF members exceeds RM1.1 million each which is equivalent to the bottom 65.4% with savings of less RM37,500 each.

The above picture is how Malaysia is unable to address structural issues of wages. The minimum wage of RM1,200 per month is very low in urban areas and reflects salaries of graduates 30 years ago.

Source: https://www.nst.com.my


The cost of living has increased but starting salaries and minimum wage has stuck in a “low-cost” economy environment. To live in Kuala Lumpur, one needs a living wage of RM2,700 per month and for a family of four household income must be RM7,000 per month at the minimum.

To address these issues, a multi-pronged strategy has to be mapped-out:
  • Raise retirement age to 65
  • EPF will secure Government support to “top-up” account 1 of the bottom 10% impacted by Covid-withdrawals;
  • Increase minimum wage to RM1,500 initially, with the view of RM2,000 in 3 years time; and 
  • Establish a joint public-private commission on wages
There are many other measures needed but for an economy to “move-up” the value chain, the Government has to devise and implement steps that realises Industry 4WRD. Unfortunately MITI seems to be lost after a plan was devised! Otherwise our Gini coefficient will remain at 0.41 for the foreseeable future and we are no better than Haiti on this index.

Reference:
Income and wealth disparity, Pankaj C. Kumar, Starbiz, 19 December 2021


Tuesday 11 January 2022

The World Ahead 2022

Reflecting on this year's World Ahead, editor Tom Standage, wrote, "If 2021 was the year the world turned the tide against the pandemic, 2022 will be dominated by the need to adjust to new realities, both in areas reshaped by the pandemic and as deeper trends reassert themselves."

Source:https://asianpolyglotview.com

While The World Ahead includes many predictions, the ten major themes for 2022 are as follows:

  1. Democracy v autocracy. America's mid-term elections and China's Communist Party congress will vividly contrast their rival political systems.
  2. Pandemic to endemic. New antiviral pills, improved antibody treatments and more vaccines are coming. For vaccinated folks in the developed world, the virus will no longer be life-threatening. But it will still pose a deadly danger in the developing world. 
  3. Inflation worries. Supply-chain disruptions and a spike in energy demand have pushed up prices. Central bankers say it's temporary, but not everyone believes them. 
  4. The future of work. There is a broad consensus that the future is "hybrid", and that more people will spend more days working from home.
  5. The new techlash. Regulators in America and Europe have been trying to rein in the tech giants for years, but have yet to make a dent in their growth or profits. Now China has taken the lead, lashing its tech firms in a brutal crackdown.
  6. Crypto grows up. Like all disruptive technologies, cryptocurrencies are being domesticated as regulators tighten rules. Central banks are also looking to launch their own, centralised, digital currencies. The result is a three-way fight for the future of finance—between the crypto-blockchain-DeFi crowd, more traditional technology firms and central banks—that will intensify in 2022. 
  7. Climate crunch. Even as wildfires, heatwaves and floods increase in frequency, a striking lack of urgency prevails among policymakers when it comes to tackling climate change.
  8. Travel trouble. Activity is picking up as economies reopen. But countries that pursued a zero covid "suppression" strategy, such as Australia and New Zealand, face the tricky task of managing the transition to a world in which the virus is endemic.
  9. Space races. 2022 will be the first year in which more people go to space as paying passengers than government employees, carried aloft by rival space-tourism firms. 
  10. Political footballs. The Winter Olympics in Beijing and the football World Cup in Qatar will be reminders of how sport can bring the world together—but also how big sporting events often end up being political footballs. Expect protests directed at both host countries, though boycotts by national teams seem unlikely.

For Malaysia wishful thinking would suggest the following:

  • GE15, and a “new” government with new agenda for all people;
  • Covid and its variants are held under control. Tourism and travel resume substantially;
  • Economy recovers to 6% GDP growth;
  • Race and religious issues are sidelined or “outlawed”;
  • NEP (and its variants) is replaced by a  Needs-Based Policy;
  • Education is re-set for a progressive Malaysia;
  • Corruption is curtailed with a Commission on Truth and Restoration;
  • Institutions like the police, civil service are rebuilt to their “former” glory.

And many more initiatives that make Dubai or Saudi Arabia’s reforms insignificant by comparison. That’s my hope and may be yours as well! May we have more of that in 2022.

Reference:

2022 will be the year of adjusting to new realities according to The Economist’s The World Ahead 2022, The Economist, (www.prnewswire.com, 9/11/2021)



Monday 10 January 2022

Are EPF Withdrawals A Solution?

In recent weeks, many affected by the floods have been appealing to the Government for withdrawal of RM10,000 in their EPF accounts. Earlier, the Government offered to support with RM1,000 cash grant for those affected.

When you lose household items and lives is RM1,000 enough? No! That’s why people are asking for withdrawal of their own money to start afresh. But that will affect funds available for retirement. To date a total of RM101 billion has been withdrawn under 3 special withdrawal schemes.




Source: https://ms.wikipedia.org


Those requesting for further withdrawals are Bumiputeras (74%), and 79% have savings less than RM10,000. The MOF is of the view that the government has channelled assistance amounting to RM10 billion through Bantuan Prihatin Rakyat (BPR), Covid-19 Special Assistance (BKC) and also Income Loss Assistance (BKP) which benefited some 11 million recipients.

According to MOF, the purpose of the EPF is none other than to prepare for one's old age. In just eight years, retirees and the elderly will make up 15 per cent or more than 5.3 million of the country's population.  This means they will need more savings to finance their living after retirement.

But meanwhile, how will they start afresh? Look for Ah Longs? Banks? Family?

The Government could do a couple of things:
  • Raise the retirement age to 65;
  • Issue a bond subscribed by high net worth individuals or those with savings of more than RM0.5 million with EPF. The money secured is loaned interest free to the B40 group. Coupon of 5% is borne by the Government. Those who obtain the loan will need to pay back over 5 years (hence the retirement age is raised);
  • Review pay scales and employer’s contribution to EPF;
  • Seek support from PNB for those Bumiputeras who qualify under the interest-free loan, i.e. the ASB/ASB dividend stream could be assigned for repayment of the loan; 
  • Use the reverse mortgage with Cagamas for those who qualify; and
  • Work out a new scheme for retirement including review funds “stuck” at Socso.

There are many other ways to solve this – if you have compassion!


Reference:
EPF withdrawal not the solution to tough situations, Rafidah Mat Ruzki, 2/1/2022
https://www.nst.com.my


Friday 7 January 2022

What’s the Market Outlook for 2022?

Since 2019, the total return on the S&P 500 is nearly 97% (almost 27% on an average annualized basis). This outperformance is leaving many investors nervous. Yes, current market conditions certainly imply lower returns for the stock market in the years ahead. But that doesn't mean it's going to happen or the market is destined to crash, either.

Total returns for the S&P 500 have been well above the long-term average the last few years:
  • 2019: 31.5%
  • 2020: 18.4%
  • 2021 YTD to 11/9: 26.2%
What does this mean for the market outlook going forward?

As always, there are multiple narratives playing out at once. History can serve as a guide, but no one has a crystal ball.

The forward price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 is 21.71. This is up from the 16.81 average over the last 25 years. Current valuations are a factor in future returns. Based on the forward P/E ratio and historical data, J.P. Morgan estimates average annualized returns for the S&P 500 could be flat over the next 5 years.

J.P. Morgan analysis revealed that only 40% of the variation in historical total returns could be explained by forward P/E ratios. In another words: 60% of the time stocks will go up or down for other reasons.

The P/E 10 ratio is a valuation measure generally applied to broad equity indices that use real per share earnings over 10 years. The P/E 10 ratio is also known as the cyclically adjusted price to earnings (CAPE) ratio or the Shiller PE ratio. The Shiller PE ratio is now 39. That’s more than double its average annual reading of 16.81 since 1870.


Source: Shiller PE Ratio (https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe)



Then the S&P 500’s price to sales ratio is high. This ratio describes value of S&P 500 index relative to aggregate revenue of its 500 component companies. The lower the ratio the more attractive an investment. It is now above 3.0.

A third metric is the S&P 500’s price to book ratio. That spells trouble, which is above 4.5. The average P/B value over past 21 years was 2.87.

Then Buffet indicator - the ratio of total stock market valuation to GDP - as of December 9, 2021 was 213%. It is 2.2 standard deviation above the historical average – in other words, highly over-valued.

Diversification can help protect investors against volatility, but it's not a magic shield. Rather than focusing on the market outlook for the next one or two years and trying to pick sectors or time, take a longer-term view and consider positioning your portfolio accordingly. For the Bursa, it should be the same strategy. Why? Everything that goes down will certainly go back up!

Reference:
The S&P 500 is up 97% since 2019. What’s the market outlook in 2022 and beyond? Kristin McKenna (https://www.forbes.com)


Thursday 6 January 2022

Is Massimo’s Price Increase Out of Whack?

Malaysians have been worried that the cost of living is now rising faster than it has for some time. Their fears seem justified with the price increase of Gardenia and Massimo breads. The Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs (KPDNHEP) wants Massimo’s manufacturer, The Italian Baker, to explain the price hike.

Source:http://utusandaily.blogspot.com


KPDNHEP Deputy Minister Datuk Rosol Wahid was reported by Berita Harian as saying that the bread maker must justify the increase in the price of their products which will start on 3 January. Rosol said the price increase would affect the people as they are still struggling with the COVID-19 pandemic and exacerbated by the flood disaster across the country.

Rosol reminded that during the price increase in Gardenia bread products on December 1 last year, his ministry also held a consultation session with its manufacturer, Gardenia Bakeries. He said Gardenia cited costlier raw materials, which were beyond their control, as the reason for the price increase. Rosol added that the ministry accepted the reason given and as an alternative, Gardenia Bakeries has promised to produce a new bread product that will be sold at the old price.

The same move can be made by Massimo producers so that the people have a choice. In the meantime, Rosol highlighted that the government can only control the price of regular white bread and if producers intend to increase the price, they need to inform KPDNHEP first.

The Italian Baker raised the price of White Sandwich 400 grams (g) to RM2.80 per loaf (old price RM2.38) and increase of 17.6%, White Sandwich 600g to RM4 (RM3.35) an increase of 19.4%, Wheat Germ 400g to RM3 (RM2.48) and Wheat Germ 600g to RM4.25 (RM3.71).

The 100% Whole Wheat bread now sells at RM4.10, while the Duetto cream bread is priced at RM1. The Italian Baker, which is a 100%-owned subsidiary of Federal Flour Mills (one of many companies owned by Malaysian tycoon Robert Kuok), introduced Massimo to Malaysians in 2011. 

Gardenia increased its prices in December last year. The price of its Gardenia original Classic 400gm was increased from RM2.50 to RM2.80 (an increase of 12%) while its jumbo 600gm version was increased from RM3.55 to RM4.00, an increase of 12.7%.

Netizens have reacted strongly to the price changes. After all, prices are going up at a relatively rapid rate on a variety of items and services, faster than at any time since the coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic in 2020.

At the same time, while the cost of living has increased many workers have not seen salaries rise. This is the key issue. Price rises here end-up as cost-push inflation without any accompanying rise in wages. Wages remain sticky upward.

Gardenia and Massimo may have little choice but to raise prices. Gardenia is controlled by Syed Mokhtar while Massimo by Robert Kuok. Both brands now match on price, but the contention is Massimo’s price increase is higher than that of Gardenia on a percentage basis. Consumers could avoid either brands and look at other alternatives or both manufacturers produce smaller breads at the “old” price. Will that help?

References:
1. Massimo bread price increase: KPDNHEP asks for justification, Fernando Fong, 3/1/2022 (https://www.therakyatpost.com)

2. Putrajaya to summon Massimo over bread price hike, Malaysiakini, 3/1/2022

Wednesday 5 January 2022

World Inequality Report 2022

In a nutshell, three decades of trade and financial globalisation, has pronounced further global inequalities. The Covid-19 pandemic has exacerbated them (That’s according to the World Inequality Report by World Inequality Lab (“Report”)). The Report suggests the top 1% took 38% of all additional wealth accumulated since the mid-1990s. The bottom 50% captured just 2% of it.

The key points also include:
  • MENA (Middle-East and North Africa) is the most unequal region in the world. Europe has the lowest inequality levels.
  • Nations have become richer but governments have become poorer – because they have relied on borrowings to meet expenditures (for stimulus packages)
  • Gender inequalities remain considerable
  • Ecological inequality remains an issue especially between high and low emitters

Global income and wealth inequality, 2021



The Report led by Thomas Piketty (a French economist) also highlighted that 10% of the world population take home 52% of global income, while the bottom 50% earned only 8.5%. These inequities could not be reduced by taxation alone.

Progressive tax rates, introduced in the first half of 20th century were dismantled by the 1980s with Reagonomics – free market and small governments. Then again, Europe and America got rich on Industrial Revolution and colonalisation. The latter dismantled progressive sectors of India and China to ensure markets for their goods.

In 1920, inter-country inequality was only 11% of global inequality. (Intra-country inequality could be higher). By 1980 inter-country inequality peaked at 57% of global inequality. With Covid, domestic inequality accounted for 68% of global inequality.

The rich have more but want more! Private wealth grew at the expense of public wealth. Governments of Europe, North America and Japan need debt to tackle slow growth since the 1980s. Then privatisation policies transferred public wealth to the private sector.

In addition, inequalities and climate change are highly co-related. Between 1850 and 2020, about 49% of historical carbon emission was accounted by North America (27%) and Europe (22%). An IMF report mentioned “the richest countries represent only 16% of the world population but almost 40% of CO2 emissions and the poorest countries with 60% of world population account for 15% of emissions (World Bank). On this, COP26 was a failure – to acknowledge the rich countries contribution to emissions and their pledge to rectify it.

To overcome the challenges it has to have the following:
  • An acknowledgement by governments in developed countries and polluters (fossil fuels) and others;
  • A “green” tax in rich countries with sums transferred to the poor countries impacted by emissions;
  • Grants for countries preserving permanent forests and doing re-forestation efforts

As Andrew Sheng  suggests (Starbiz 19/12/21), a global summit perhaps bi-annually to map-out how inequalities are to be addressed and a review of specific projects sanctioned to tackle global inequalities need to be convened.

References:
1. World Inequality Report 2022, 7 December 2021(https://wid.world/news-article/world-inequality-report-2022/)

2. We need a global summit on inequality, Andrew Sheng, Starbiz, 19 December 2021



Tuesday 4 January 2022

Property Market: The Unsold Units Dilemma

A total 30,290 units of completed houses with a value of RM19.75 billion were reported unsold in the third quarter of 2021.

Deputy Housing and Local Government Minister Datuk Seri Ismail Abdul Muttalib said data by the National Property Information Centre (NAPIC) revealed a 2.64 per cent decrease in the number of unsold residential units in the third quarter compared with the second quarter of the year (a total 31,112 unsold completed houses worth RM20.1 billion). The slight drop in unsold housing properties, he said, was attributed to numerous promotional efforts by developers including reducing prices or offering discounts to house buyers.

Kuala Lumpur, Penang, Selangor and Johor recorded the highest number of unsold houses.

(source: iCompareLoan)


Among the factors that contributed to the property overhang were supplies that did not match the demands in localities, prices and household income mismatch and unattractive locations of housing projects, as well as house buying transactions through sub-sales. A big data analytics study is being conducted which is expected to be completed by May 2022.

There is a need to establish a repository data centre to enable main industry players to use the same data for projections related to housing supply and demand, affordability, available financing, housing financing schemes, policy development and forecast for housing needs.

Another measure used is the Home Ownership Campaigns (HOC), which has stamp duty exemption and a 10 per cent discount on houses priced between RM300,000 and RM2.5 million by developers registered with the Real Estate and Housing Developers' Association Malaysia (Rehda).

The ministry (Housing) is considering extending the HOC, originally slated to end 2021.

The residential property market is expected to remain sluggish for the foreseeable future. Why? The general economic recovery is likely to be tepid with Omicron and other matters still to be resolved. Then there is the issue of MM2H and foreign buyers looking elsewhere for investment.

Reference:
RM19.75 billion worth of unsold houses in Malaysia, Nuradzimmah Daim, New Straits Times, November 23, 2021 (https://www.nst.com.my)

Monday 3 January 2022


 

Thanks so much for your response and support!

Best Wishes for 2022!!

Mediocrity Exposed by the Floods?

Of all the disasters in Malaysia, floods are most frequent and bring the greatest damage annually. Historically, there have been big flood events in 1886, 1926, 1931, 1947, 1954, 1965, 1970/71, 1988, 1993, 1996, 2000, 2006/07, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2014 and now 2021. It looks like some economic cycle – but it is not funny if you are a victim of the event. Of all the above events, 1926 was seen as the “biggest flood” according to DID. Why? It caused extensive damage in Peninsula Malaysia.

Most of the above events impacted Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang, Kedah and Johor. But more recently it has impacted Selangor and places like Taman Sri Muda, Shah Alam and Kelang.

In the recent floods, Malaysia’s disillusioned citizens avoided politicians and theocrats to rescue trapped flood victims and serve food, as one people. Ethnic diversity rallied to ferry neighbours, strangers and pets, tow stalled cars, and lift children to dry ground. Emergency services were absent. Having low expectations of government, the people did what they had to do in the immediate aftermath of the rainstorm.


Source: https://www.malaymail.com


Six states of Peninsula Malaysia were badly hit by the tropical depression spun by Typhoon Rai after it wrecked the Philippines. The skies dumped relentlessly from Thursday through Saturday 17-19 December. A month’s volume descended in a day. Floodwaters left 70,000 people homeless. More than 45 deaths were recorded. After the initial disarray, government services were activated, and regular assistance arrived late with more resources.

Sri Muda township in affluent Selangor saw families scrambling to rooftops as the rising brown muck chased them. They perched for 48 hours without food or water. The sluice gates to release floodwaters into the river were stuck. Two of its three motors failed. The waters terrorizing Sri Muda residents walled several meters above the river into which they should have flowed.

The spontaneous caring of strangers reached out wherever humans needed food, water, and transit to safety. Sikh Gurdwaras, Church soup kitchens, NGOs, and ordinary folk at all levels, pitched in, some opening their homes to shelter the homeless.

Over a half-century, the New Economic Policy (NEP) and its continuance under different guises, has allowed mediocrity to be normalized from the cabinet down. Even critical technical services were disabled. Town Planning and the Public Works Department have lost the top-grade talent of professionals. Civil service employment and promotions are biased racially. Competence is no longer the criterion.

The Pakatan Harapan government in 2018 discovered that only four fighter planes in the entire RMAF fleet were operational. The rest were grounded due to faulty parts, missing engines, or stolen electronic gear. The competent engineers to keep the air force operational left or took early retirement. That pattern repeats itself through the Navy and the Army. 

This same malaise plagues the education system. Too many deserving non-Malay children are denied entry to the nation’s institutions of higher learning. Their sense of rejection begins at primary school. The calibre of teachers and how they are promoted in a system of mediocrity is another topic for this blog. Top elite schools like RMC, VI or MCKK are reduced to village schools! Nelson Mandela made the point that it is not necessary to use nuclear bombs to destroy a nation. You just have to wreck its education system.

Malaysia once had a highly respected civil service. Its diplomats were routinely asked to draft UN resolutions by the developing countries. Malaysia summarized ASEAN meetings. Today, senior civil servants at conferences cannot follow the proceedings or engage in discussions. They collect papers, go shopping, and return to get translations for their departmental report. 

So, what does the Government do because of these floods? It sets up a task force! Then the task force will produce a “Laporan Terperinci” (Comprehensive Report). This is then tabled for the Cabinet’s consideration. Then the matter is dropped till the next floods. The whole episode is like the British “Yes Minister” TV series.

We need to clean rivers, dredge the rivers, create retention ponds, have diversion channels (like SMART Tunnel), provide pumps, re-forest heavily logged areas and stop deforestation. All the above is known by this Government but who cares? And what will the task force report state? It will say bureaucracy has to be streamlined, better coordination required, change NADMA to NADI, and more allocation to buy boats, drones and uniforms! No one will be sacked, and no one will resign. Mediocrity prevails, unless we are brave enough to change the paradigm!

References:
Government AWOL in flood, Malaysians save each other, Cyril Pereira, 24 Dec 2021 (https://www.asiasentinel.com)

Impacts of Disasters and Disasters Risk Management in Malaysia: The Case of Floods, Ngai Weng Chan, University Sains Malaysia, Penang, December 2012