Monday, 5 May 2025

What Is Trump’s Agenda for Science?

The United States, for much of its history, was less an engine of scientific progress than a beneficiary of it. Pasteur, Koch, Lister, Mendel, Curie, Fleming—the giants who midwifed modern medicine were not Americans but Europeans.

 During the Second World War, the balance shifted. President Franklin Roosevelt created the Office of Scientific Research and Development and tapped Vannevar Bush, a former dean of M.I.T., to lead it. In the span of a few years, the agency spurred development of an antimalarial drug, a flu vaccine, techniques to produce penicillin at scale, and, less salubriously, the atomic bomb. Bush became a champion of state-sponsored research, helping to establish the National Science Foundation and to modernize the National Institutes of Health.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org

Bush’s vision may be as responsible as any other for nearly a century of American scientific dominance. Research funded by the federal government has found useful expression in many of the defining technologies: the internet, A.I.crisprOzempic, and the mRNA vaccines that saved untold lives during the covid pandemic. Between 2010 and 2019, more than three hundred and fifty drugs were approved in the U.S., and virtually all of them could trace their roots to the N.I.H. The agency has grown into the world’s largest funder of biomedical research, with a forty-eight-billion-dollar budget. By some estimates, each dollar that the U.S. invests generates five dollars in social gains like economic growth and higher standards of living.

Donald Trump, since his return to the White House, has upended the long-standing bipartisan consensus that the government should fund scientific research and then mostly stay out of the way. His Administration has paused communications from health agencies, wiped data from their websites, fired hundreds of government scientists, and proposed slashing the budget of the National Science Foundation by two-thirds. It has announced that the N.I.H. will no longer honour negotiated rates for “indirect costs” on the grants that it administers—money that institutions use for such things as laboratory space, research equipment, removal of hazardous waste, and personnel to help patients enrol in clinical trials.

The disruptions are already cascading through academia. Medical schools have paused hiring; labs are considering when they’ll have to let employees go; universities are curtailing Ph.D. programs, in some cases rescinding offers to accept students. Meanwhile, biotech investors are warning of a contraction in medical innovation. There is nothing wrong with reform. The N.I.H. could stand to restructure its institutes to minimize duplicative work, to fund projects with greater transformative potential, to demand more transparency in how institutions calculate their administrative overhead. But what Trump is doing is not reform, it is subversion. And it could not come at a worse time.

America has long been the global leader in scientific output, but by various measures China is now surging ahead. In recent years, it surpassed the U.S. as the top producer of highly cited papers and international patent applications. It now awards more science and engineering Ph.D.’s than the U.S., and, even before the current funding turmoil, it was projected to match spending on research and development by the end of the decade. Trump may speak of America First, but his Administration’s playbook will ensure that the U.S. comes in, at best, second.

It is in this context, that progressive Asian nations have a tremendous opportunity to lure disgruntled academics and graduate students to their countries and leapfrog the West. This is the Asian century, and it must be anchored on research and development.

Reference:

Trump’s Agenda Is Undermining American Science, Dhruv Khullar, The New Yorker,
9 March 2025

 

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