Friday, 16 August 2019

CFA Institute Investment Foundations Program: Chapter 10 – Equity Securities (Part III)



In a previous article, we introduced the CFA Institute Investment Foundation Program (Read more here).  It is a free program designed for anyone who wants to enter or advance within the investment management industry, including IT, operations, accounting, administration, and marketing.  Candidates who successfully pass the online exam earn the CFA Institute Investment Foundations Certificate.

There are total of 20 Chapters in 7 modules, covering all the essential topics in finance, economics, ethics and regulations.  This series of articles will highlight the core knowledge of each chapter.

Chapter 10 provides an overview of equity securities. The learning outcome of chapter 10 is as follows:
·       Describe features of equity securities;
·       Describe types of equity securities;
·       Compare risk and return of equity and debt securities;
·       Describe approaches to valuing common shares;
·       Describe company actions that affect the company’s shares outstanding.

There are significant risk and return differences between debt and equity securities because of differences in cash flow, voting rights, and priority of claims.

Exhibit 1 shows the three main types of securities and their typical cash flow and voting rights.



In the event of the company being liquidated, assets are distributed following a priority of claims, or seniority ranking. This priority of claims can affect the amount that an investor will receive upon liquidation. Exhibit 2 illustrates the priority of claims.



Given the fact that equity securities are riskier than debt securities, shareholders expect to earn higher returns on equity securities over the long term. Because equity is riskier than debt, risk-averse investors may prefer debt securities to equity securities. However, although debt is safer than equity for a given entity, debt securities are not risk-free; they are subject to many risk factors, which are discussed in the Debt Securities chapter.

Exhibit 3 shows annualised historical return and risk data on various equity and debt indices for the 1980–2010 period. Recall from the Quantitative Concepts chapter that the standard deviation of returns is often used as a measure of risk. The shaded rows in Exhibit 3 present return and risk data (based on standard deviation of returns) for six equity indices. The non-shaded rows present return and risk data for three bond indices.



The data are generally consistent with the expectation that riskier investments should generate higher returns over the long term. For the United States and Europe, annual equity returns (first three shaded indices) were higher than annual bond returns (non-shaded indices). Annual equity returns exhibited higher risk than annual debt returns. Note that for the three indices that include emerging economies (the last three shaded indices), however, annual equity returns were marginally lower than annual bond returns but riskier.

Exhibit 4 presents annual real returns (returns adjusted for inflation) on equity securities and government long-term bonds for 19 countries, Europe, the world, and the world excluding the United States (ex-US) for 1900–2010. Equity returns over the period are higher than government bond returns within every country and region. The real return (return adjusted for inflation) of equity securities ranged from approximately 2% to 7%. The real returns of government bonds ranged from approximately –2% (that is, they failed to cover inflation) to +3%. On average, government bonds have ten inflation, earning a modest positive real return per year. But in some countries, the return to bondholders was not sufficient to cover inflation, so bondholders lost purchasing power.


Sample question:

Compared with the expected return on an investment in preferred shares, the expected return on an investment in common shares is most likely to be:
 
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