Friday, 7 June 2019

CFA Institute Investment Foundations Program: Chapter 6 – Economics of International Trade (Part I)


In a previous article, we introduced the CFA Institute Investment Foundation Program (Read more here).  It is a free program designed for anyone who wants to enter or advance within the investment management industry, including IT, operations, accounting, administration, and marketing.  Candidates who successfully pass the online exam earn the CFA Institute Investment Foundations Certificate.

There are total of 20 Chapters in 7 modules, covering all the essential topics in finance, economics, ethics and regulations.  This series of articles will highlight the core knowledge of each chapter.
Chapter 6 provides an overview of macroeconomics. The learning outcome of chapter 6 is as follows:

·        Define imports and exports and describe the need for and trends in imports and exports;
·        Describe comparative advantages among countries;
·        Describe the balance of payments and explain the relationship between the current account and the capital and financial account;
·        Describe why a country runs a current account deficit and describe the effect of a current account deficit on the country’s currency;
·        Describe types of foreign exchange rate systems;
·        Describe factors affecting the value of a currency;
·        Describe how to assess the relative strength of currencies;
·        Describe foreign exchange rate quotes;
·        Compare spot and forward markets.

International trade is the exchange of products, services, and capital between countries. The WTO members' merchandise exports totalled US$ 17.43 trillion in 20171.

Imports refer to products and services that are produced outside a country’s borders and then brought into the country. For example, many countries in the European Union import natural gas from Russia. 
Exports refer to products and services that are produced within a country’s borders and then transported to another country. For example, Japan exports consumer electronics to the rest of the world.

The Need for Imports and Exports:

·        Gain access to resources
·        Create additional demand for products and services
·        Provide greater choice to customers
·        Improve quality and/or reduce the prices of products and services

Two major trends have promoted international trade: fewer trade barriers and better transportation and communications.



Countries often specialise in products and services for which they have a comparative advantage—that is, products and services that they can produce relatively more efficiently than other countries.
The balance of payments tracks transactions between residents of one country and residents of the rest of the world over a period of time, usually a year. Analysing a country’s balance of payments helps in understanding the country’s macroeconomic environment.

The balance of payments includes two accounts:

·        The current account indicates how much the country consumes and invests (outflows) compared with how much it receives (inflows). It is primarily driven by the trade of products and services with the rest of the world—that is, exports and imports.
·        The capital and financial account records the ownership of assets. In particular, it reflects investments by domestic entities in foreign entities and investments by foreign entities in domestic entities. These investments can be acquisitions of production facilities or purchases and sales of financial securities, such as debt and equity securities.

A country may run a current account deficit because it needs to import many goods to help its economy evolve or because its consumption far exceeds its production and its ability to export. A persistent current account deficit may cause a depreciation of the country’s currency relative to other currencies.

Reference:


Sample Question:

Which of the following would most likely be reduced if India imposed a tariff on goods from Japan?
 
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