Wednesday, 10 July 2019

Pessimists: Global Crash in 2020!


The IMF leads a group of gloomy forecasters that worry about stability of global economy amid rising debt levels and slowing GDP growth.

Consumer debt has risen to pre-2008 crisis levels in many countries. Corporate borrowing has soared and governments, like U.S., face huge debts. Increasing interest may bring discipline back to borrowing but growth will be tempered with confidence levels ebbing away. London based forecasters Fathom Consulting expects a bust in 2020. Nouriel Roubini also nominates 2020. And that’s not much time to prepare.

According to Lombardi Letter, there are five signs that an economic collapse is about to happen. They are:

1. Growing government debt: when an economy slows, the government usually steps in to help stimulate spending again, but with a high debt, the government might not be able to make that injection;

2. Stock markets trading at all-time highs: investors are taking more risk on the market, markets continue to trade higher meaning investments are bull-market driven and not research-based which could lead to a stock market bubble;

3. Unemployment rate: eligible worker, retirement, and student rates all identify trends in people not contributing to the economy and could slow down economic growth;

4. Unstable government: this boils down to the leader and government team in decisions and actions that may affect the economy in various ways; and

5. Rising national debt: this means less consumer spending in the economy and more money spent on paying debt.

Although those five economic collapse red flags are present in any collapse, there are also other things we can do to be ahead of a financial collapse. And that is to look at what the warning signs displayed by the people involved in it all, America’s elite Wall Street executives and Silicon Valley entrepreneurs.

What are the world’s richest doing?

A good sign of an economic downturn is when you see some of the world’s richest executives preparing for an economic disaster. You know things are about to go wrong if they are taking considerable efforts to protect themselves and their families.
Silicon Valley millionaires and Wall Street investors are buying big houses overlooking lakes in New Zealand and other underpopulated places in the world should they need the security of a hideaway

How can you prepare for an economic collapse?
We can’t fight an economic collapse but we could prepare for one. So let us look at the steps you can take to prepare for an economic collapse:
1. Learn simple economics
Basic understandings of economics will help you in not only noticing an early downturn, but will help you identify possible safe havens for your money and economic minefields that you should avoid.
2. Cash is king
When you have cash, it’s buying power that many might lose. That includes money in the bank. Just make sure that whatever investments you have, you are able to quickly liquidate them should you need to.
Savings and current accounts should always carry a certain amount of emergency money as these can be withdrawn quickly. This is much better than having all of your money in a fixed deposit account that provides restrictions on when you can withdraw your money.
3. Start building an emergency cash fund
An emergency fund should not be in credit, it should be from cash you saved in a savings account from your monthly income. Make sure you have enough money to at least allow you to buy tickets to another country and support yourself and your family for six months.
4. Start being more frugal with your monthly bills
When you have no money coming in, the worst thing to have is money going out on expenses that you really don’t need. Start minimizing bills by going through them each month with a highlighter and seeing where most of your money is going. Is there a way to limit that? Perhaps the energy bill is a little higher than it should be and the air-conditioning or heater is being left on?
Practicing sustainable methods such as organic gardening, generating your own power and utilizing your own space is a great way to also lessen monthly expenses.
5. Generate an additional (collapse-proof) form of income
Someone from Venezuela was an engineer, but started making cheese, learned to use a crafting and cutting kit and became a freelance writer for various websites as a way to find alternative income when his country’s economy collapsed. Many try starting an at-home business to ensure they have a bit of extra cash each month aside from their normal job, and as a fallback when times are tough.
6. Get out of debt
If you have considerable debt, build a strategy to get out of it as quick as possible. In the case of a financial collapse there will be multiple job loss and widespread income loss. The sooner you remove debt the sooner you can remove the worry of having to pay debts when you have no source of income.

7: Start prepping
If a financial collapse does occur, you are going to want to start prepping so that, should an economic downturn occur, you have enough food saved up while you either grow your own food in the garden to supplement it, or find another source of free food. Chances are you will need food more than water as water will still run, but stores may close down and shelves may empty out quite quickly.


That’s a pessimist’s dire view. But it need not be the case. Let us be more optimistic and hope that, it will not happen. And we pray we have leaders with the spirit of wisdom and knowledge to avert such a disaster!


Reference:
How to prepare for the next great economic collapse, Ben Brown (https://thepreppingguide.com)


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