The
SME Association together with Bizsphere Brand & Marketing Group
(“Bizsphere”) launched a survey on 29 March entitled “Business Sustainability
of SMEs during the Covid-19 crisis and impact of MCO”. Over 15,000 responses
were received in less than 18 hours.
Source:
SME Corp Malaysia
Most
of the SMEs (53.3%) have less than 75 employees. More than half are projecting
to experience RM0.5m losses within six months – March to September 2020. The
biggest challenge is cashflow. There is no cashflow anticipated for at least 3
months due to MCO. Yet they need to pay full salaries, rent and statutory
payments. Only one-third have cashflow for March while another 38% can sustain
up to April. Only 26% of SMEs can avail to Government’s Prihatin Package. The
latest package announced yesterday looks promising with higher wage subsidies
for the smaller ones while micro enterprises can avail to further grants and
interest free loans. Rental subsidies by way of landlords reducing rent because
of tax deductions for them is another plus point in the short term.
In
managing employees, according to Bizsphere survey, 44% said they will persuade
employees to utilise annual leave on voluntary basis. About a quarter will
initiate retrenchment. This may translate to 2.56 million people out of a job.
At
best, “business as usual” will only be back after 6 months (about 29% said) and
over 61% believe it will need 9 months for businesses to stabilise. Over 82%
predict that this year will be a loss for them.
Why
can’t the Government look at other countries?
In
Germany, half million employees are likely to be on short-term work schemes –
“Kurzarbeit” – to trim their payroll costs. Essentially, workers get 2/3 of
their pay even if they didn’t work. And the company is not burdened by staff
costs in these challenging times. It has been proven useful for Germany in the
last crisis (2008/2009).
This
time around not only industrial companies will use it but small service
companies, restaurants, consultants and the like.
This
is not the only way, there are schemes in place (or to be in place) in the U.K.
and Singapore. Protecting the business, will ensure employment and a faster
recovery. Otherwise, it will be like the U.S., retrenchments and unemployment
benefits for the jobless while businesses flounder and fold.
The
latest scheme by the present Government is an improvement from the previous
stimulus. Hopefully, the Government will hear the plight of SMEs in three to
six months when these measures wear out.
Reference:
1. 1/3 of SMEs only have enough cashflow
for expenses March 2020, SME Association of Malaysia
2. Annette Weisbach, Germany is using a
familiar weapon to prevent massive layoffs, 3 April 2020, CNBC
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