According to the International Monetary
Fund, the U.S. dollar is the most popular currency. As of the fourth quarter of
2019, it constituted over 60% of all known central bank foreign exchange
reserves.
Before World War I, international trade
was largely based on the gold standard. Countries linked their currency
directly to gold and all trade between nations was carried out using gold. However,
when World War I broke out in 1914, many countries abandoned the gold standard
so that they could pay their military expenses with paper money, which devalued
their currencies. Three years into the war, Britain found itself having to
borrow money for the first time.
The United States became the lender of
choice for many countries that were willing to buy dollar-denominated U.S.
bonds. In 1919, Britain was finally forced to abandon the gold standard, the
dollar then replaced the pound as the world’s leading reserve.
The United States served as the Allies’
main proprietor of weapons, supplies, and other goods in World War II.
Collecting much of its payment in gold, by the end of the war, the United
States owned the vast majority of the world’s gold. This precluded a return to
the gold standard.
In 1944, delegates from 44 Allied
countries met in Bretton Wood, New Hampshire, to come up with a system to
manage foreign exchange that would not put any country at a disadvantage. It
was decided that the world’s currencies could not be linked to gold, but they
could be linked to the U.S. dollar, which was linked to gold.
The arrangement was then known as the
Bretton Woods Agreement. It established that central banks would maintain fixed
exchange rates between their currencies and the dollar. In turn, the United
States would redeem U.S. dollars for gold on demand. Countries had some degree
of control over their currencies by buying or selling their currencies to
regulate money supply.
Thus, the US Dollar retained its
position as the world’s major currency reserve. The relative size and strength
of the U.S. economy supported the value of the dollar. As of 2018, the U.S. had
$1,671 billion currency in circulation. As much as half that value is estimated
to be in circulation abroad. The trust and confidence that the world has in the
United States have kept the dollar as the most redeemable currency for
facilitating world commerce.
Will the Dollar be Replaced?
By early 2010, some economists had
predicted that the Chinese Yuan may overtake the dollar as a global currency by
the early 2020s. However as of today, the Chinese Yuan remains far from being
anywhere near the US dollar in terms of trade or as the reserve currency of
central banks. The Yuan is not used as widespread as the US dollar. Its major
usage is still domestic – within China. Meanwhile, the Chinese central bank
itself is the largest hoarder of dollars. This position is not likely to change
in the foreseeable future. Why? The Chinese economy must be substantially
larger than the U.S.; world trade must be denominated in Yuan—which the U.S.
will not allow; and, military power must shift to China. What do you think?
Reference:
Richard Best, How the U.S. Dollar Became
the World's Reserve Currency www.investopedia.com
Kimberly Amadeo, Why the US Dollar Is
the Global Currency www.thebalance.com
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