ARK Invest believes innovation is
evolving at such a rapid pace that traditional equity and fixed income
benchmarks are being populated increasingly by so-called value traps, stocks
and bonds that are “cheap” for a reason. Any company not investing aggressively
in one or more of five major innovation platforms and 14 technologies evolving
today will lose its way.
What are the five innovation platforms?
And the 14
technologies?
1.
Blockchain
- Blockchain
2.
Frictionless
Value Transfer - Blockchain
3.
Autonomous
Mobility - Energy Storage
4.
Battery
Systems - Energy Storage
5.
Sequencing
Technology - DNA Sequencing
6.
Gene
Editing - DNA Sequencing
7.
Immunotherapy
- DNA Sequencing
8.
Adaptive
Robotics - Robotics
9.
3D
Printing - Robotics
10. Reusable Rockets - Robotics
11. Neural Networks - Artificial
Intelligence
12. Mobile Connected Devices - Artificial
Intelligence
13. Cloud Computing - Artificial
Intelligence
14. Internet of Things - Artificial
Intelligence
ARK’s Cluster of Major Innovation Platforms
According to ARK's research, among the
siloed sectors at risk of disintermediation are energy, industrials, consumer
discretionary, communications services, health care, and financial services.
"As autonomous transportation evolves, for example, autos, rails, and
airlines are likely to capitulate to the convergence of robotics, energy
storage, and artificial intelligence. Combined, they will collapse the cost
structure of transportation." Traditional healthcare is likely to give way
to the convergence of next-generation DNA sequencing, artificial intelligence,
and gene therapy, the combination of which should significantly increase the
return on investment, ARK believes.
In their view, most of the platforms
mentioned above are entering exponential growth trajectories thanks to the
falling costs and increasing productivity associated with technologically
enabled innovation. For example, in response to the 28% cost decline in
lithium-ion batteries for every cumulative doubling in units produced globally,
prices will continue to fall, “turbocharging” electric vehicle (EV) sales.
According to ARK’s research, EV sales will scale 20-fold globally during the
next five years, from an estimated 2 million and ~2.5% of the market this year
to 40 million and ~45% in 2025.
ARK Invest assumes that the global
economy has entered a period of changes, some of which are exceptionally good
and others destructive. That will shape the market in the future. The correct
orientation towards change can determine success and failure, which is why ARK
suggests paying attention to next five innovation platforms in the new world.
How about Malaysia? Are we geared for
this? Or are we drafting blueprints still?
Reference:
Investors Beware: Stay On The Right Side
Of Change, 28 Dec 2020, ARK Invest
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