Tuesday, 16 March 2021

What Led to Global Chip Shortage?

 

Semiconductor executive Tom Caulfield told The Washington Post he knew a crisis was brewing when he started getting frantic calls from big automakers just before Christmas.

“Tom, you’re killing me. You need to make more,” Caulfield, the chief executive of chipmaker GlobalFoundries, recalls the auto executives saying. “Ford, Volkswagen, BMW, Daimler-Benz, Fiat Chrysler, GM — every one of them became my new best friends.”

The shortage has forced many automakers to slash production, threatening jobs at the auto companies and their suppliers. The shortage is predicted to remain in coming months as demand remains higher than ever. (Read more on our previous article: Computer Chip Shortage Is Slamming Global Automakers)

Liesa Johannssen-Koppitz/Bloomberg News

One of the main factors leading to a global shortfall is the pandemic, which causes people to purchase more home electronics devices to study or work from home. Home entertainment gadget and smart home product sales are increasing as well. However, new semiconductor factories are among the most complex manufacturing facilities to build. It costs billions of dollars and takes years to construct. Hence, it is unlikely to meet the demand in the short term by simply building more factories.

But why automakers being hit the most?

The roots of the shortage lie in the early weeks of the pandemic, when auto plants worldwide abruptly shut down amid widespread stay-at-home orders. Auto sales fell by almost half between February and April last year. As a result, car companies and their parts suppliers drastically cut their semiconductor purchases. They underestimated how quickly the sales would rebound. And when they intend to place their orders again late last year, they found it difficult as chipmakers are stretched to the max supplying smartphone giants like Apple Inc.

“It comes down to capacity,” said Shawn DuBravac, chief economist of IPC, an electronics industry association. “Semiconductor manufacturers weren’t getting orders from auto manufacturers. They were getting orders from other industries, so they started to reallocate production.”

Other factors include stockpiling. PC makers began warning about tight supply of semiconductors early in 2020. Then by mid-year, Huawei Technologies Co. - a major smartphone and networking gear maker - began hoarding components to ensure its survival from U.S. sanctions that threatened to cut it off from its primary suppliers of chips. Other Chinese companies followed suit, and the country’s imports of chips climbed to almost $380 billion in 2020 -- making up almost a fifth of the country’s overall imports for the year.

What’s next?

Taiwan sees significant potential for broader engagement over the medium-to-longer term to enhance supply chain resilience. A TSMC spokeswoman pointed to the company’s Jan. 28 statement that called addressing the auto chip shortage “our top priority.” While their capacity is fully utilized with demand from every sector, TSMC is allocating their wafer capacity to support the worldwide automotive industry.

There are rumours saying that TSMC is planning to open six new manufacturing plants in the U.S., but it takes time. The shortage could last for a while since the demand probably won’t slow down, especially as economic activity picks up again through 2021.

 The shortage is a signal to the U.S. that the country may be over relying on Chinese and Taiwanese manufacturers. The government perhaps should subsidize a stronger homegrown chip industry to boost production for their own benefit.

 

Reference:

1.     Jeanne Whalen, Reed Albergotti and David J. Lynch, Biden can’t fix the chip shortage any time soon. Here’s why. 2 March 2021, The Washington Post

2.     Debby Wu, Sohee Kim, and Ian King, Why the World Is Short of Computer Chips, and Why It Matters, 18 Feb 2021, Bloomberg

3.     Gerrit De Vynck, What you need to know about the global chip shortage, 2 March 2021, The Washington Post

4.     Anton Shilov, TSMC Rumored to Increase Capacity of Arizona Fab, 4 March 2021, https://www.tomshardware.com/

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